Bitcoin Trading Near Crucial Juncture: Here’s Why BTC Could Rally Above 100 SMA

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Bitcoin is struggling to clear the main $9,200 resistance area against the US Dollar. BTC is likely to start a strong rally if it clears the $9,200 resistance and the 100 SMA (H4).

  • Bitcoin is facing a strong resistance near the $9,200 level and the 100 simple moving average (4-hours).
  • The price could start a strong rally if it settles above the $9,200 barrier.
  • There is a significant breakout pattern forming with resistance near $9,200 on the 4-hours chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair must stay above the $9,000 support level to avoid a major bearish break in the near term.

Bitcoin is Testing Crucial Resistance

This past week, bitcoin extended its decline below the $9,200 support level against the US Dollar. BTC even spiked below the $9,050 level and settled below the 100 simple moving average (4-hours).

A low was formed near $9,022 and recently the price started an upside correction. It surpassed the $9,100 and $9,120 levels. There was a break above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $9,358 high to $9,022 low.

However, the price is now facing a strong resistance near the $9,200 level and the 100 simple moving average (4-hours). There is also a significant breakout pattern forming with resistance near $9,200 on the 4-hours chart of the BTC/USD pair.

Bitcoin price trades below $9,200: Source: TradingView.com

The triangle resistance is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $9,358 high to $9,022 low. A clear break above the $9,200 level and the 100 simple moving average (4-hours) is needed to start a strong rally in the coming days.

The next major resistance above the $9,200 level is near the $9,300 level. Any further gains is likely to start a steady uptrend towards the $9,500 and $9,550 levels.

Downside Break in BTC?

If bitcoin fails to clear the $9,200 barrier and the 100 SMA, there is a risk of more losses. On the downside, the triangle support is near the $9,040 level.

The main support zone is near the $8,950 and $9,000 levels, below which there are high chances of a sharp decline towards the $8,650 and $8,500 levels.

Technical indicators

4 hours MACD – The MACD for BTC/USD is slowly losing momentum in the bullish zone.

4 hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is currently struggling to clear the 50 level.

Major Support Level – $9,000

Major Resistance Level – $9,200

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Risk disclaimer: 76.4% of retail CFD accounts lose money.

Via: https://www.newsbtc.com

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